Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. South Dakota Coyotes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3809dd5c9496aed5d1b29c39824335670774310535763bc3462d2b5edb43cac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Portland State Vikings, South Dakota Coyotes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed South Dakota Coyotes | 46c | 2,736$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.85 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Portland State Vikings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed South Dakota Coyotes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Portland State Vikings | 56c | 1,087$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.15 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 54c | 865.82$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Portland State Vikings | 54c | 211.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked South Dakota Coyotes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland State Vikings | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked South Dakota Coyotes | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked South Dakota Coyotes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Portland State Vikings | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed South Dakota Coyotes | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Portland State Vikings | 56c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.