TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: PNG.A (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RMD Gamingof paiN Gaming Academy, RMD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed RMD Gaming38c512.03$193 inWon+$318.951,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked RMD Gaming40c499.99$200 inWon+$299.9990350.8%459 W · 444 L+17.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed paiN Gaming Academy63c475.15$300 inLost-$30018247.3%86 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN Gaming Academy60c346.65$208 inLost-$207.991,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed paiN Gaming Academy61c259.02$157 inLost-$15716354%88 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed paiN Gaming Academy60c174.59$105 inLost-$104.764626.1%12 W · 34 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked RMD Gaming40c162.01$65 inWon+$97.21,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed RMD Gaming44c136.69$60 inWon+$76.6927251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed paiN Gaming Academy21c129.81$28 inLost-$27.631,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed RMD Gaming36c93.49$34 inWon+$59.8421344.6%95 W · 118 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed paiN Gaming Academy60c83.33$50 inLost-$504456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e7…f2e5backed paiN Gaming Academy60c83.33$50 inLost-$509150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked RMD Gaming41c73.17$30 inWon+$43.1716760.5%101 W · 66 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN Gaming Academy44c58.51$26 inLost-$25.652,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked paiN Gaming Academy60c50$30 inLost-$3011551.3%59 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed paiN Gaming Academy59c25.41$15 inLost-$14.996847.1%32 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed paiN Gaming Academy54c25$14 inLost-$13.513542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.