TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Aschaffenburg: Despina Papamichail vs Martina Capurro Taborda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Martina Capurro Tabordaof Despina Papamichail, Martina Capurro Taborda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Martina Capurro Taborda58c1,564$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.824,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martina Capurro Taborda73c1,253$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.212,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Despina Papamichail43c781.81$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Despina Papamichail43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2587,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Despina Papamichail31c487.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.021,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Despina Papamichail33c379$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda66c211$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.744,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Despina Papamichail24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Despina Papamichail24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Despina Papamichail24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda67c128$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.245,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Despina Papamichail24c112.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…09cebacked Despina Papamichail49c81.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Despina Papamichail25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Despina Papamichail46c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7655241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Martina Capurro Taborda73c50.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8282958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Martina Capurro Taborda76c49.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.066,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Despina Papamichail46c46.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.297,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Martina Capurro Taborda54c46.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2990152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79da…f465backed Despina Papamichail43c34.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.051526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Martina Capurro Taborda52c31.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9326441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Martina Capurro Taborda53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7545053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.