WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38baad711a3d3b970e1a1f43c88ccab1dc8a1e256e1b4d45f567f490bbf8eb78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Sun, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Sun | 24c | 5,119$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 71c | 3,082$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.73 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sun | 43c | 2,544$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.05 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Fever | 60c | 680.24$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.58 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 16c | 626.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.75 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Sun | 27c | 392.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Sun | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Fever | 55c | 135.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Fever | 68c | 107.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Fever | 48c | 101.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Sun | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Fever | 75c | 92.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Sun | 36c | 85.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Fever | 73c | 70.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Fever | 74c | 57.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Fever | 73c | 51.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Fever | 68c | 47.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.