Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis vs. UAB
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38e29f64e64100e8c2a76e0c89bdbd4d01ff86d900e8da40af8238b3dd2ecbd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Memphis, UAB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89c9…9534backed UAB | 51c | 2,746$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Memphis | 49c | 1,957$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.09 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Memphis | 37c | 1,778$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.45 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UAB | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…35b9backed Memphis | 51c | 436$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…7a65backed UAB | 49c | 287$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Memphis | 51c | 238.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Memphis | 51c | 135.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Memphis | 49c | 110.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…a1e0backed UAB | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked UAB | 50c | 56.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked UAB | 39c | 54.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed UAB | 35c | 51.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed UAB | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…6107backed UAB | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…a467backed UAB | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…90c7backed Memphis | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…dfbcbacked UAB | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d43abacked Memphis | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…7814backed Memphis | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…4ed0backed UAB | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6c…d5abbacked UAB | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…c9ecbacked UAB | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…7d3dbacked Memphis | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Memphis | 63c | 27.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…586bbacked UAB | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…5836backed UAB | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867e…08b7backed UAB | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…4f81backed UAB | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.