Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38efe98442316350eeadb4d2eb91c32bfea41f6d065ee47fa788609ec4544155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,849.99 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 14,141$6,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,519.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 49c | 4,895$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.5 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 3,740$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,050$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.22 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,697$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 1,134$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.76 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 833.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.81 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 79c | 830.85$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 809.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.81 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 463.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 20c | 450.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.79 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 19c | 371.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.64 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes | 18c | 260$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 79c | 189$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 183$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 37c | 166.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 156.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 143$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 80c | 83.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 19c | 63.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 79c | 47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…616ebacked Yes | 49c | 45.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 37c | 33.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 21.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.