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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc890…5fd5backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c3,601$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks32c1,727$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.085,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs68c1,520$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1834943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4e…256cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c1,385$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…c367backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c1,300$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5723100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c1,002$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c808$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c715.37$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.851,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd8…394dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c571$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c461$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.131,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c438.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5170936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x318f…fa0cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c344.77$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs58c333$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8625946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c309$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks10c270.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.654,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs55c246.39$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.512,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c215.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6211046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks42c215$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks30c212.84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.851,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks43c199.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c191.21$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9650548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks27c128.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c108$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5220452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs66c99.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.233,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c90.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7324737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks43c70.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c69.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.89035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c61.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4123363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c56.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c46.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs72c39.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c28.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c27.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks43c26.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.514,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c17.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8682846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.