Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393a9cb727a051e81a6aae3c2638c8888063028deffc679236960807452134e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof William & Mary Tribe, UNCW Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 303,156$166,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,420.63 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 268,056$120,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,805.37 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 13,421$7,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,058.53 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 13,164$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.65 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 4,557$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 3,080$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 1,533$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 1,414$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 915.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.62 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 900$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 671$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 662.62$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 263.59$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 134.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 88.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 72.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 57.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 54.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 35.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 29.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-1.5)this page
- UNCW Seahawks vs. William & Mary TribeWilliam & Mary Tribe won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 157.5Under won
- UNCW Seahawks vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.