Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396ebeb3bd1437500771b75d10685fa890950ff7564c577ccf8ac4c22de249b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astini+5of Astini+5, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 749.54$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Astini+5 | 58c | 418.61$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Astini+5 | 49c | 348.72$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 258.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 235.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Astini+5 | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 216.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astini+5 | 57c | 191.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 187.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Astini+5 | 27c | 185.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…f901backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 181.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Astini+5 | 30c | 165.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Astini+5 | 75c | 134.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Astini+5 | 58c | 119.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Astini+5 | 50c | 107.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Astini+5 | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astini+5 | 46c | 98.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 91.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 89.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 85.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8925backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 80.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…22d0backed Astini+5 | 41c | 78.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 77.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 72.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 69.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Astini+5 | 47c | 68.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Astini+5 | 34c | 58.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Astini+5 | 56c | 52.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…1e8bbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 44.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Astini+5 | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astini+5 | 61c | 38.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Astini+5 | 56c | 36.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Astini+5 | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c72…cc11backed Astini+5 | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Astini+5 | 62c | 29.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2681…cabdbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 27.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…f657backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…0fe5backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 26.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Astini+5 | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…2025backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bthis page
- Game Handicap: Astini+5 (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Astini+5 (+1.5)Astini+5 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.