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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
G2 Aresof G2 Ares, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,969 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78f4…38eebacked Rune Eaters14c2,505$347 inLost-$346.772425%6 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked G2 Ares62c1,560$973 inWon+$586.6764856.9%369 W · 279 L+41.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters35c527.55$186 inLost-$185.895,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares44c485.01$216 inWon+$269.235,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5bc…57cfbacked G2 Ares59c442$261 inWon+$180.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9746…5900backed Rune Eaters62c433.23$268 inLost-$267.671888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed G2 Ares50c295$147 inWon+$148.3517349.1%85 W · 88 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked G2 Ares44c162.26$72 inWon+$90.359732%31 W · 66 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares57c145.75$83 inWon+$62.381,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters53c120.51$64 inLost-$64.14,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed G2 Ares55c118.45$65 inWon+$53.4533243.7%145 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Rune Eaters75c115.17$87 inLost-$86.718943.9%83 W · 106 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares66c106.98$70 inWon+$36.616,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Rune Eaters61c93$57 inLost-$56.734738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Ares55c86.56$48 inWon+$38.9581045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rune Eaters74c80$59 inLost-$59.21,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked G2 Ares27c76.63$21 inWon+$55.948647.7%41 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Rune Eaters71c61.08$43 inLost-$43.3721848.6%106 W · 112 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed Rune Eaters50c51.2$26 inLost-$25.66744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters50c48.86$24 inLost-$24.438,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares35c40$14 inWon+$262,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed G2 Ares45c33.33$15 inWon+$18.3325562%158 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Rune Eaters69c20.72$14 inLost-$14.350658.3%295 W · 211 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…d118backed G2 Ares61c16.98$10 inWon+$6.594586.7%39 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+25.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.