CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs FIGHTERS (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9f205e8df81a021d9f70edc584ccfac6384875d4553a29fe3a0f247cc7d17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamant Esportsof Diamant Esports, FIGHTERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,932 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Diamant Esports | 57c | 1,513$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.35 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FIGHTERS | 49c | 1,217$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.11 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Diamant Esports | 50c | 826.39$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.2 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FIGHTERS | 29c | 448.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FIGHTERS | 43c | 205.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked FIGHTERS | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked FIGHTERS | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FIGHTERS | 50c | 133.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed FIGHTERS | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Diamant Esports | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Diamant Esports | 58c | 69.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed FIGHTERS | 50c | 66.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…73e2backed FIGHTERS | 35c | 59.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed FIGHTERS | 30c | 57.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed FIGHTERS | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…9ab1backed FIGHTERS | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked FIGHTERS | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Diamant Esports | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Diamant Esports | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked FIGHTERS | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed FIGHTERS | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.