La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aaa40d193dd7c43d2067f4e6d9038622a45acdd2e26d38c18317979dbeac5e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 29c | 9,439$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.34 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fffdbacked Yes | 6c | 5,813$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,629$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.62 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 73c | 1,505$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 1,122$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 76c | 163.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 152.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed No | 73c | 134.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 73c | 116.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +86%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked No | 73c | 102.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 92 | 76.1%70 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 59.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 76c | 52.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 27c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 34.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 74c | 22.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 75c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 73c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.