La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6b1ae1ad457380789665d29ede976e80a6cb9576549406729e0c0504528ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 41c | 3,725$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.55 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,088$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.24 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 27c | 925$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 839.92$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 200.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 61c | 193.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 61c | 193.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 61c | 193.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 61c | 193.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 190.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 62.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 42c | 62.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 54.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 54c | 53.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 53.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 53.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 54c | 53.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 54c | 53.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 54c | 50.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 54c | 42.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 47c | 35.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 26.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 64c | 21.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 54c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.