Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b9dbeddb92f99af46df09b0050f4ddaf901250478fdedfb2b77d5239133ae2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,443 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 58c | 1,206$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 67c | 697.48$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 594.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 31c | 460.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 371.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 39c | 199.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Under | 55c | 192.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 45c | 143.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 54c | 102.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 92.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 92.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 87.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 87.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Over | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Over | 45c | 66.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Over | 45c | 64.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Over | 45c | 61.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 44c | 47.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 32.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.