TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Akron vs. Toledo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Akronof Akron, Toledo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29c0…efaabacked Akron53c939.16$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.521,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c1…8a8fbacked Toledo35c441$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5608…fae1backed Akron65c296$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2771…c8a9backed Toledo50c189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64b…d1efbacked Toledo37c177$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73d…4fdabacked Toledo47c128$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7a…9db3backed Akron65c128$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…77bdbacked Akron53c126$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc586…036cbacked Toledo47c119$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20cf…de29backed Toledo35c116.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6aa…1a06backed Akron51c112$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb110…bdacbacked Akron65c104$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…20b4backed Akron65c103$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…7924backed Akron51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Akron64c95.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4360551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74a…6880backed Akron62c93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecb…5475backed Toledo38c93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01cb…c66bbacked Akron51c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd173…0b6bbacked Akron65c86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe089…e4fdbacked Akron52c86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee33…2b1abacked Akron53c74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008f…b1dabacked Toledo35c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Toledo34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.592429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb560…535bbacked Akron65c68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x246f…1c93backed Toledo38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1228…210abacked Toledo49c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…df17backed Toledo35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+203%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c5…297dbacked Akron50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9982…5e4dbacked Toledo43c56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b0…55c3backed Akron51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x220c…5ee8backed Toledo38c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Akron66c53.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.199751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e19…53cfbacked Toledo43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d0…d295backed Toledo49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598f…2324backed Toledo47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00bc…4198backed Akron51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…f1b1backed Toledo37c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Akron63c47.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7853057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ac…93cbbacked Toledo49c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x484e…8290backed Toledo43c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e9…16a8backed Toledo49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5604…ba5cbacked Akron65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5694…728abacked Akron51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de8…ab41backed Toledo49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ea…1cb7backed Toledo43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x451b…7d2bbacked Akron50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de2…7d11backed Toledo48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3094…0fadbacked Toledo38c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4670…eff8backed Toledo34c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…a1ddbacked Toledo49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf64a…f6e8backed Toledo36c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d0…b1fdbacked Toledo38c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df6…0a43backed Toledo38c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…1648backed Toledo48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6d…d94cbacked Toledo50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc9…073abacked Toledo49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051f…c644backed Toledo35c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e0…470ebacked Toledo49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd0…3edfbacked Akron50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…88debacked Akron51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd122…ec4dbacked Toledo36c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae6…9abfbacked Toledo37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…1a16backed Akron57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa846…cc8abacked Toledo49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf05…a7dbbacked Toledo50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1328…e46ebacked Toledo38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410f…3912backed Toledo35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…a196backed Toledo49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd895…7a21backed Akron51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb4…cf3cbacked Akron51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd260…1a70backed Toledo49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cb…26d9backed Toledo35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa12…db0bbacked Akron51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32de…e0dcbacked Akron37c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cdb…5759backed Toledo49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa813…fc80backed Toledo50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…6586backed Toledo37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…6a70backed Akron57c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc538…34a0backed Toledo49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…2f9dbacked Toledo35c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e3…0a15backed Toledo49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…ee1abacked Toledo49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d5…88c9backed Toledo34c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef1…be82backed Akron51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fa…c703backed Toledo49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a22…e6eebacked Toledo35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77f…77debacked Akron50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ec…1d30backed Akron63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d02…04f4backed Toledo49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2169…e76ebacked Toledo49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b6…20d0backed Akron51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2627…e556backed Toledo49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…2e1abacked Akron51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c5…43e3backed Toledo50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6da5…aa68backed Toledo49c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698d…e0f1backed Akron57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…e3d8backed Akron51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ce…870abacked Akron51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e35…5999backed Toledo50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578f…7e08backed Akron50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.