Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Giron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c013c538f2539d0259fe449f52abf03d58b63e55f58b576576ba833083bd2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Giron | 44c | 111.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Fritz | 56c | 90.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Giron | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fritz | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Giron | 44c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…7289backed Giron | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Fritz | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Fritz | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…3d75backed Fritz | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…cfe1backed Fritz | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…e1dcbacked Fritz | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…47e0backed Fritz | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…dd55backed Fritz | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…0e17backed Fritz | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed Fritz | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…a1a8backed Fritz | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed Fritz | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…d6c3backed Fritz | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed Fritz | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Gironthis page
- Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos GironFritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)Giron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.