Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c0f239735a0fa9624e19835aa46b952ffbc1f13802abcb336df402486c52f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 32,253$16,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,483.09 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 11,118$5,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 9,397$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.85 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 5,153$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.01 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 49c | 1,945$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.4 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,749$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 49c | 970$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.7 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 675.11$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 304.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 276.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 64c | 205$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 50c | 200.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 86.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Under | 54c | 39.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…5670backed Under | 59c | 33.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Over | 48c | 26.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…6047backed Under | 51c | 20.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 155.5this page
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford TerriersWofford Terriers won
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 154.5Over won
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 156.5Over won
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-3.5)Wofford Terriers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.