CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c22cc85db742aec9d9c85bcfd27799e0ac79277fc285edd6b2a32c0967611ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof SPARTA, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 50c | 2,703$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.76 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 57c | 1,586$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked SPARTA | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 1,238$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.97 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed SPARTA | 21c | 653.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked SPARTA | 66c | 507.38$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Donstu Esports | 35c | 352.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 314.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked SPARTA | 48c | 175.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA | 64c | 166.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Donstu Esports | 36c | 146.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Donstu Esports | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports | 25c | 63.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Donstu Esports | 47c | 57.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SPARTA | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 68c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Donstu Esports | 43c | 28.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Donstu Esports | 65c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 22.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a06…1391backed SPARTA | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.