CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f944fe32ef80ee95608a9f4da02b835821cd2de69285c8ed3008738ae89a538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 59c | 1,546$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.99 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Donstu Esports | 48c | 921.99$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.2 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 51c | 789.27$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.47 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed SPARTA | 62c | 786.79$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 477.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 398.19$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 31c | 335.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 52c | 330.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 330.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 317.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 299.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 45c | 289.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Donstu Esports | 47c | 264.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 53c | 261.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 245.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 61c | 213.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed SPARTA | 53c | 206.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 185.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed SPARTA | 55c | 180.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Donstu Esports | 38c | 172.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Donstu Esports | 39c | 128.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 121.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Donstu Esports | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SPARTA | 39c | 119$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed SPARTA | 76c | 113.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Donstu Esports | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 102.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed SPARTA | 62c | 101.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Donstu Esports | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…44a5backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SPARTA | 60c | 94.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…930abacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 91.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked SPARTA | 40c | 88.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 66.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SPARTA | 40c | 62.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 60.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Donstu Esports | 21c | 50.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked SPARTA | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked SPARTA | 61c | 37.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked SPARTA | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…79f4backed SPARTA | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.