Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lola Radivojevic vs Laura Samson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c56d17b17ab0b143de6e8bdb8993c294c987a85040e33b12dfdef85fa987894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Samsonof Lola Radivojevic, Laura Samson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lola Radivojevic | 35c | 478.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lola Radivojevic | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Laura Samson | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Laura Samson | 67c | 144.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lola Radivojevic | 13c | 143.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Laura Samson | 61c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lola Radivojevic | 40c | 74.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Laura Samson | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Laura Samson | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Laura Samson | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Laura Samson | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Laura Samson | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…d2a4backed Laura Samson | 55c | 34.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Laura Samson | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Laura Samson | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Laura Samson | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lola Radivojevic | 43c | 26.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Lola Radivojevic | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Laura Samson | 50c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Laura Samson | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.