Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Warda Ait El Bachir vs Lisa Claeys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c58fb642c249ef91ac4fae8465ad6e57d652e283fa31063bae401d269a229ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lisa Claeysof Warda Ait El Bachir, Lisa Claeys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Warda Ait El Bachir | 16c | 1,678$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Warda Ait El Bachir | 3c | 1,004$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Lisa Claeys | 63c | 193.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lisa Claeys | 80c | 181.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Lisa Claeys | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warda Ait El Bachir | 38c | 120.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lisa Claeys | 63c | 98.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Lisa Claeys | 53c | 88.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 383 | 59.8%229 W · 154 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Lisa Claeys | 63c | 74.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Warda Ait El Bachir | 23c | 70.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Warda Ait El Bachir | 35c | 67.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 352 | 58.2%205 W · 147 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Warda Ait El Bachir | 33c | 65.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Warda Ait El Bachir | 36c | 48.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Warda Ait El Bachir | 40c | 45.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 435 | 58.9%256 W · 179 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Lisa Claeys | 65c | 44.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Lisa Claeys | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Lisa Claeys | 59c | 34.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +26.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lisa Claeys | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 635 | 46.1%293 W · 342 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…b1c7backed Warda Ait El Bachir | 43c | 29.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Lisa Claeys | 65c | 25.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Lisa Claeys | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.