Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c868c63869036d68a224d1321dcfaec415c672bacee771e42113d3267b48e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511b…c8f6backed No | 8c | 5,962$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 3,102$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 3,095$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 3,020$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 2,863$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.67 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 15c | 2,104$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 1,276$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 16c | 892.52$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 12c | 748.74$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 19c | 649.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed No | 16c | 608.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 14c | 559.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed No | 15c | 324.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 9c | 298.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 6c | 293.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 5c | 235.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 14c | 233.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed No | 14c | 211.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 15c | 199.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed No | 16c | 187.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 19c | 182.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 19c | 182.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 19c | 169.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 15c | 160.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 15c | 140.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 20c | 133.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 122.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 20c | 94.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 20c | 91.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 20c | 91.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 20c | 91.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 20c | 91.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 20c | 91.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 20c | 89.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 14c | 84.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 15c | 83.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.