Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf3fb100eacceab12c8321851ada97ecb52e32f3bd4fc081ba864a52c0fada6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 28c | 39,382$11,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,044.86 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 30,619$22,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,561.94 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 24c | 26,354$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 5,082$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 4,800$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,196$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 24c | 605$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 386.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 24c | 179.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…f71abacked Yes | 25c | 84.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 83.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 41.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 73c | 30.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.