Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cfad5eaac02aacf9123919ff51b2534360904ec8210bd747d2fd22b49f5ff40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skolaof FK Rīgas Futbola Skola, ÍF Vestri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 68c | 14,270$9,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ÍF Vestri | 32c | 10,010$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed ÍF Vestri | 34c | 3,682$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.8 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 65c | 3,257$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.38 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 66c | 1,083$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ÍF Vestri | 33c | 891.09$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked ÍF Vestri | 35c | 882$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.45 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed ÍF Vestri | 35c | 882$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.45 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed ÍF Vestri | 36c | 882$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.54 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked ÍF Vestri | 32c | 500.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked ÍF Vestri | 32c | 373.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ÍF Vestri | 32c | 357$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked ÍF Vestri | 33c | 293.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed ÍF Vestri | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 66c | 249$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed ÍF Vestri | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 62c | 213.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 67c | 198.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked ÍF Vestri | 46c | 161.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked ÍF Vestri | 32c | 135.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed ÍF Vestri | 33c | 110.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed ÍF Vestri | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ÍF Vestri | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…cc93backed ÍF Vestri | 33c | 65.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ÍF Vestri | 34c | 31.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-2.5)this page
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.