Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Shelton vs. Herbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d9f7bd88cdd5515da5308a9ad273057154e13f8ad0f403fb7a0a95f7437c887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Herbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Herbert | 25c | 7,988$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.03 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Herbert | 1c | 5,427$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Shelton | 72c | 4,542$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Shelton | 75c | 4,215$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.69 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Herbert | 28c | 3,261$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.17 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Shelton | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Herbert | 27c | 2,217$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.75 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Herbert | 25c | 1,655$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.72 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Herbert | 28c | 1,006$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Herbert | 31c | 975$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Shelton | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Herbert | 37c | 543.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Shelton | 74c | 543.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Herbert | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Shelton | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Herbert | 29c | 345.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…7325backed Herbert | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Herbert | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Shelton | 73c | 163.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Shelton | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…b1c2backed Shelton | 71c | 84.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Shelton | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Shelton | 73c | 30.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.