Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. Wichita State Shockers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dbf3c385896fc52916a635bf26350d4df036668d427cbbde7c28cd534ec9077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado State Rams, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 5,434$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 1,082$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.39 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wichita State Shockers | 31c | 911.21$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers | 22c | 806.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Wichita State Shockers | 50c | 401.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State Rams | 67c | 390.5$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Colorado State Rams | 50c | 335.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…01f2backed Wichita State Shockers | 8c | 248.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Colorado State Rams | 56c | 178.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…9daabacked Colorado State Rams | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 26.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Wichita State Shockers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed Wichita State Shockers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.