CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dc9c9b9a06e23546f3f297bab06fc3c39839620f6f438959303c981eb3d478c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof INFURITY Gaming, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7295…642dbacked INFURITY Gaming | 66c | 7,457$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 37c | 3,894$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.09 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 3,703$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.02 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 39c | 1,223$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 441$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 368.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 350$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked INFURITY Gaming | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed INFURITY Gaming | 54c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed INFURITY Gaming | 63c | 177$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 159$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ex-MANA eSports | 41c | 140.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 125.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 122$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 45.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked INFURITY Gaming | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.