CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e037c673cdc8ae7e9383e5d84b57a5bdb0da9d87034d643b718e336c5f4f806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed INOX Division | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 924.57$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.64 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 459$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 254.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 45c | 176.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed INOX Division | 68c | 165.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked INOX Division | 62c | 140.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed INOX Division | 53c | 85.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked INOX Division | 77c | 69.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked INOX Division | 42c | 67.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 49.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked INOX Division | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked INOX Division | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 23.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 21.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group AINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.