Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e1e292752fa6cb50b860deb76dd6556cbd091aad72e9af9c5813ca75f7577bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 740.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 234.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 80c | 187.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 181.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 147.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 79c | 81.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…24c9backed Yes | 22c | 79.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 44c | 66.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 68c | 57.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 22c | 52.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 22c | 47.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 46.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 44.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 32.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 31.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.