Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x561d9391fc5bc4e2fa226f2e9f7353b61f6ed26565492b3aef65e18937257212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 50c | 17,555$8,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,708.48 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 51c | 9,607$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 9,463$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.7 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 2,893$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.37 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed No | 52c | 1,937$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,311$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 30c | 1,300$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 50c | 1,088$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 79c | 508.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 47c | 405.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 53c | 403.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 50c | 403.49$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 393.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 42c | 294.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 58c | 294.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 22c | 286$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 204.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 201.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 48c | 159.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 52c | 129.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes | 30c | 121.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 113.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 42c | 85.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 83.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 49c | 81.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 60.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 49c | 44.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 54c | 39.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 66c | 33.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 33.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 66c | 33.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 66c | 33.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked No | 77c | 29.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 42c | 23.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 23.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.