Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6be1ff9b11845c22fec73991f3b4576a4965b0824b80959908597cd8b43c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 46c | 5,481$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.16 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 4,439$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.51 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 3,027$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Yes | 44c | 748.68$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 587.57$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.03 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 527.62$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 454.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 47c | 292.95$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 170.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 44c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 46c | 74.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 76c | 64.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 33c | 54.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 46.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked No | 58c | 31.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?No won
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.