CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea5ae495525bb83d013fe581bd3e14cad294ac01d705af3cd14c99b2d0665ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof Rune Eaters, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ca1…fc58backed RUSTEC | 58c | 2,250$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked RUSTEC | 50c | 1,920$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed RUSTEC | 52c | 1,769$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.33 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 1,317$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.31 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked RUSTEC | 53c | 927.42$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.68 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 787.36$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked RUSTEC | 45c | 628$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 590.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 495.23$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 444.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.17 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 315.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 311.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 307.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 267.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 220.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 153.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 147.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 147.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 69.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs RUSTEC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.