Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f11874c38f4793250ab41c65a249ce871a6b57fdc47fb748bcd996770e33a7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 520.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 467.38$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 360.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 297.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 60c | 282.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed No | 59c | 212.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 11c | 184.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.94 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 16c | 165$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 15c | 164.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 163.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 63c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 16c | 86.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 64c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.