Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe60bc2818c68d503801a09602e5c4d17dce66c6fa97a3cccb9e60f86801c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 6,032$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 61c | 4,868$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.63 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 3,959$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.02 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 570.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 67c | 418.06$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 58c | 415.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 301.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 150.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed No | 76c | 134.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 101$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 66c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Yes | 62c | 81.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 78.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 44c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 58c | 58.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 44c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 56.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 54.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 59c | 54.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 36c | 50.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 40c | 44.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 34c | 42.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Yes | 58c | 38.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed No | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 17.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Vitória SC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.