Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f75babd0deee278c9a736e0c15c79085268143dbf00bf982e3f850f6c3d6125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,563$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…18f2backed Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 967.7$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 51c | 490.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 26c | 383$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 44c | 279.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 173.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 131.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Over | 73c | 131$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 75c | 109$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 68c | 81.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 66.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Under | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Over | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…b43cbacked Over | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 26.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Famalicão vs. CD Tondela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Famalicão vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. CD Tondela: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.