Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f946c1303de9a7189b345227ee2140295ceffff10a9dbebc2efca692e5cd400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Washington Eaglesof Eastern Washington Eagles, Montana Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Montana Grizzlies | 64c | 20,563$13,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,146.51 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 42c | 10,134$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.96 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +9.4wins | +0.47per pick | 38cpaid | +463.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 27c | 4,767$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.46 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +8.2wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 28c | 4,721$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.47 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 16c | 257.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…6dddbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Montana Grizzlies | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…a545backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 72c | 52.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Montana Grizzlies | 59c | 17.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.