Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3feea9d7f81811e94e55d0b971547713559fa15084a704636e581ab17b0ec517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 3,744$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,846$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 6c | 770$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 463.74$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…6de8backed Yes | 30c | 408.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 18c | 391.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 32c | 381.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 11c | 114.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 106.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +225.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 67c | 71.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 35c | 28.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 64c | 21.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 79c | 13.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Moreirense FC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.