Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Omaha Mavericks vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400f3a416ff9f283ac60675a28c64ce70debf1802ef7ee70a9106fd37501b254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof Omaha Mavericks, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omaha Mavericks | 32c | 3,565$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 74c | 2,614$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omaha Mavericks | 25c | 884.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Omaha Mavericks | 17c | 699.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 67c | 645.72$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 59c | 640.19$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.66 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Omaha Mavericks | 16c | 552.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 72c | 440.41$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 71c | 383.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 78c | 376.82$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Omaha Mavericks | 14c | 297.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Omaha Mavericks | 11c | 272.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Omaha Mavericks | 11c | 223.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Omaha Mavericks | 12c | 161.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Omaha Mavericks | 34c | 117.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Omaha Mavericks | 12c | 111.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Omaha Mavericks | 10c | 102.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Omaha Mavericks | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omaha Mavericks | 37c | 93.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Omaha Mavericks | 13c | 87.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Omaha Mavericks | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 33c | 59.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…0d72backed Omaha Mavericks | 38c | 38.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Omaha Mavericks vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesthis page
- Omaha Mavericks vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 157.5Under won
- Omaha Mavericks vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-12.5)St. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.