Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Stefan Haita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x403c39073d2dd2eccc56180f4d7f64163ab81bb54adea401e2171e3e8ed914b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felix Balshawof Felix Balshaw, Stefan Haita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Stefan Haita | 3c | 7,680$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Haita | 6c | 5,637$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Stefan Haita | 7c | 1,580$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Stefan Haita | 6c | 929.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Stefan Haita | 5c | 716.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Stefan Haita | 22c | 379.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2f95backed Stefan Haita | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Stefan Haita | 11c | 147.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Stefan Haita | 21c | 131.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Felix Balshaw | 77c | 113.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Stefan Haita | 23c | 113.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Felix Balshaw | 78c | 100.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Stefan Haita | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Haita | 18c | 64.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Felix Balshaw | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Felix Balshaw | 79c | 52.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Felix Balshaw | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Felix Balshaw | 77c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Felix Balshaw | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Felix Balshaw | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Felix Balshaw | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.