CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4049ad54d167f3fefdb1f003e25254f6497a119f255c6900de0a368d37aa2661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof ex-MANA eSports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 512.18$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.82 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 488.3$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Misa Esports | 58c | 473.09$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MANA eSports | 43c | 217.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed ex-MANA eSports | 19c | 183.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 347 | 50.1%174 W · 173 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 38c | 52.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 50.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Misa Esports | 43c | 39.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 30.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Misa Esports | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed ex-MANA eSports | 61c | 21.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.