CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406c5d50a0509c45b8b5a78f4bed857d23379a1ba468dc816b6d5bcfbe369edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed INOX Division | 62c | 1,806$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.83 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed INOX Division | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Brute | 27c | 871.62$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Brute | 46c | 741.28$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Brute | 49c | 357.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Brute | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Brute | 46c | 215.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Brute | 49c | 204.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division | 46c | 107.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Brute | 47c | 95.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed INOX Division | 53c | 95.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed INOX Division | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Brute | 61c | 82.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Brute | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked INOX Division | 38c | 68.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Brute | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division | 47c | 51.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Brute | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Brute | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Brute | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.