Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alcorn State Braves: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4084ddd5f40e1f4bbf0978d15a72b5e8db91ad4367d141dd458ddc9d68e475f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,158$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 948.02$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 46c | 600.26$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.74 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 54c | 559.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 174.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 162.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 49c | 92.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 49c | 81.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 56c | 79.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 72.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 69.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 48c | 36.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 52c | 34.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Under | 53c | 34.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 49c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alcorn State Braves: O/U 138.5this page
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alcorn State BravesFlorida A&M Rattlers won
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alcorn State Braves: O/U 136.5Over won
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alcorn State Braves: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Alcorn State Braves (-1.5)Florida A&M Rattlers won
- Spread: Florida A&M Rattlers (-1.5)Florida A&M Rattlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.