Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde (France), clay: Mathieu Scaglia vs Pierre Delage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d219c43e06c35962e577d41fc9815d01cb0eccec99aeb9be91bd4e2e027ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pierre Delageof Mathieu Scaglia, Pierre Delage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Mathieu Scaglia | 50c | 796.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pierre Delage | 56c | 684.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 21c | 428.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Mathieu Scaglia | 38c | 240.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Mathieu Scaglia | 7c | 224.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 50c | 217$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mathieu Scaglia | 19c | 173.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 51c | 136.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Pierre Delage | 54c | 133.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Pierre Delage | 46c | 131.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 50c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 70c | 81.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Pierre Delage | 61c | 77.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Pierre Delage | 70c | 57.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pierre Delage | 50c | 52.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Pierre Delage | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 924 | 41.2%381 W · 543 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mathieu Scaglia | 74c | 46.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pierre Delage | 46c | 37.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mathieu Scaglia | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,164 | 56.1%1,214 W · 950 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Pierre Delage | 56c | 30.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 259 | 31.7%82 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Mathieu Scaglia | 55c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15d…b2cfbacked Pierre Delage | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Mathieu Scaglia | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.