Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d62041402a006888c264cb112a033b240f9a11d2d0a9b8450200665f53666a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,035$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 923.82$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 55c | 576.1$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 64c | 458.4$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Yes | 48c | 399.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 54c | 294.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 278.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 60c | 250.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 211.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 38c | 98.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 74c | 77.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 64c | 58.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 52.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 60c | 50.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 64c | 48.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 59c | 46.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 25c | 45.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 44.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 36c | 40.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 25.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 64c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)1. FC Kaiserslautern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.