CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d7e6fe2a4626fce3fed82595a3814191e81f796babde254edc834e0008e6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, Alzon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Players | 46c | 9,488$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.78 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Alzon | 52c | 8,518$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alzon | 55c | 2,307$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.19 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Alzon | 41c | 1,946$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.14 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Players | 66c | 1,444$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Players | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Players | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Players | 33c | 307.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Players | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Players | 64c | 236.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alzon | 50c | 205.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Players | 49c | 138.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alzon | 37c | 102.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Players | 74c | 80.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alzon | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Players | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Players | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alzon | 39c | 32.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alzon | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group StagePlayers won
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon - Map 2 WinnerPlayers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.