Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Xiaodi You
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4228f139cebe4c4a7a5a13bfbcb536aca89d195f7409cc8e251529f55e68aed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garlandof Garland, You
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed You | 13c | 4,400$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked You | 10c | 994$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked You | 14c | 920.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked You | 24c | 746.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Garland | 60c | 561.14$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Garland | 77c | 561$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked You | 25c | 500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Garland | 73c | 480$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed You | 13c | 358$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed You | 23c | 291$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked You | 33c | 288$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked You | 24c | 283.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Garland | 78c | 257.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Garland | 78c | 256.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed You | 33c | 254.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed You | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed You | 23c | 130.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Garland | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Garland | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed You | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Garland | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Garland | 75c | 81.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Garland | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked You | 23c | 52.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Garland | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.