Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Golubic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42291b1c6aa163c6cd94eabed5b93877bd0f5fd152e50ffb1f999db13af2c4ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostyukof Kostyuk, Golubic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Golubic | 30c | 11,412$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Kostyuk | 74c | 3,999$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.97 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kostyuk | 75c | 3,979$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.59 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Kostyuk | 69c | 3,893$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.42 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Kostyuk | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Golubic | 24c | 1,325$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.96 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kostyuk | 74c | 729.73$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Kostyuk | 62c | 564.44$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kostyuk | 72c | 486$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kostyuk | 68c | 474.52$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…bffabacked Golubic | 27c | 439.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Golubic | 25c | 429.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kostyuk | 70c | 412.13$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Kostyuk | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Kostyuk | 75c | 133.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kostyuk | 75c | 90.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kostyuk | 71c | 79.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Golubic | 30c | 62.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kostyuk | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kostyuk | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Kostyuk | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Kostyuk | 71c | 44.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kostyuk | 73c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kostyuk | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Kostyuk | 75c | 20.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Kostyuk | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Kostyuk | 71c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Kostyuk | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Golubic (+1.5)this page
- Kostyuk vs. Golubic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Viktorija Golubic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija GolubicMarta Kostyuk won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs GolubicKostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.