Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nicolas Mejia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4272df739ded829e9f3a9f08f6454bfcdc4afa0a7b8baac740397b6f272192ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svrcinaof Svrcina, Mejia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mejia | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Svrcina | 71c | 7,746$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.34 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Svrcina | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mejia | 19c | 2,542$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Svrcina | 52c | 2,014$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.72 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mejia | 31c | 1,961$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mejia | 27c | 1,937$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Svrcina | 71c | 1,232$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Svrcina | 74c | 1,050$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Svrcina | 62c | 945.81$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Svrcina | 74c | 765.87$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Mejia | 28c | 765.19$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mejia | 26c | 726.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Svrcina | 72c | 510$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Svrcina | 79c | 506.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mejia | 21c | 437.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mejia | 33c | 341.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Svrcina | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mejia | 29c | 244.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Svrcina | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Mejia | 33c | 153.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Svrcina | 71c | 147.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Svrcina | 55c | 109.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Svrcina | 71c | 104.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Mejia | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Svrcina | 69c | 95.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Mejia | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Svrcina | 72c | 69.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Svrcina | 60c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Svrcina | 71c | 64.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Mejia | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Svrcina | 71c | 45.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Svrcina | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mejia | 35c | 44.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mejia | 58c | 41.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Svrcina | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Svrcina | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Mejia | 48c | 24.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Svrcina | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Svrcina | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Svrcina | 67c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.