Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Mateus Cardoso Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4275baf9795bf516aa9fb87ec956b43214d467feb4eb171268cb143ac45da540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Ficovichof Juan Pablo Ficovich, Mateus Cardoso Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,037 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 21c | 1,141$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 60c | 572.73$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 57c | 530.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 36c | 528$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 63c | 518$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 39c | 487.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.02 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 59c | 429.27$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 29c | 428.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 74c | 325.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 5c | 323.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 6c | 225.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 57c | 133.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 33c | 113.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 61c | 100.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 31c | 69.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 33c | 68.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 43c | 63.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 21c | 49.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 41c | 35.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 52c | 32.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.