Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42aa9439f81641a37a127a8cbae5ece3b336c30e7486fd5337c8043d0e8d2a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Team Heretics Academy, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 4,250$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.5 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Heretics Academy | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 2,341$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.3 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Heretics Academy | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 64c | 1,525$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.91 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Team Heretics Academy | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 1,223$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.46 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Eintracht Spandau | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 344.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Heretics Academy | 35c | 290.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…9738backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Team Heretics Academy | 37c | 164.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Team Heretics Academy | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 131.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 70.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 67.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Heretics Academy | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)Team Heretics Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.